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How accurate would you say Dr Christian Jozsa's baby weight predictions are?

14

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 14 May 2013 - 17:44

Hello Ladies,

How accurate would you say Dr Christian Jozsa's baby weight predictions are?
Reason im asking is there is only 16 mnths between when my son was born and now (36 weeks) and Dr. Jozsa is suggesting i go for a VBAC if bub is under 4kg.
All well and good, but my last OB was ever so wrong..
He measured my son to be 2.6kg at 37 weeks.
My son was born csection at 39 weeks 4.120kgs.. Im sure he didnt pack on all that in 2 weeks so im a bit scared.

Would greatly appreciate your advice and your experiences w ultrasound weight predictions.
Thanks heaps!

:)

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82

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 17 May 2013 - 11:01

No experience with VBAC, but with Dr Jozsa's accuracy I have. He wanted to induce me at 40+3 due to big size of baby, he predicted a nearly 4 kg baby, but she came the night before naturally and was 3.425 in the end. :-) So I guess these US are not accurate at all. Although I must mention that the midwives in City are amazing, I had a wonderful experience. I didn't take any medication at all and they were soooo supportive. So if you opt for a VBAC, you're in good hands. Good luck!

14

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 16 May 2013 - 16:04

Thanks heaps kiwispiers, makes me feel heaps better ?

kiwispiers15400

2782

Posts

EW EXPERT

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 22:52

Being induced slightly increases the risk of rupture, my obgyn was adamant I should go into labour spontaneously. To be honest the risk of rupture is extremely low, with a VBAC they tend to monitor you excessively so your biggest risk is more that you will go through labour and they will decide to do a c section anyway ( if the baby is in distress or the labour is very slow to progress). I think a small gap between pregnancies can worry them but not a gap as big as yours. Your mother would have had a very different type of incision 20 years ago so the advice she was given doesn't apply now.

14

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 22:28

That is very interesting Meagle.. Now im even more curious as to what increases the risk of rapture? Back in the day (20 odd years ago) my mother was told not to fall pregnant for another 4 years.. I understand in time thanks to science knowledge changes/improves w research and resources, but if the major factors are not time between pregnancies and size of the baby then whatelse could it be?.. I think i will take it appointment at a time and decide as i get closer.. Also, very nice to know DrJozsa's predictions were very close Shella, thanks for sharing! :)

12

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 12:59

My baby was measuring small throughout my third trimester (IUGR). I went for growth scans with Dr George at Genesis clinic. He was pretty spot on with predicting my baby's weight. According to the scan my baby was nearly 2200grams. Five days later he was born and weighed 2290 grams.

849

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EW GURU

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 11:33

I would never trust them. For what it's worth, the American College of OBGYNs' VBAC guidelines (which are fairly conservative) say that suspected big baby shouldn't be a reason to not have a trial of labour and at least attempt a VBAC. It says you're at no greater risk of rupture due to a larger baby.

kiwispiers15400

2782

Posts

EW EXPERT

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 08:07

My son was almost 26 months when my daughter was born, my main reason for choosing VBAC was that I thought it would be a lot easier looking after him ( lifting him into his cot, carseat, giving lots of mummy cuddles and getting down on the floor to play etc)

127

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 15 May 2013 - 06:29

Dr Josza delivered my 1st DD five years ago and my second DD three years ago. At the final scan two days before delivery he predicted both would be around 4kg. First DD was 3.9kg and second DD was 3.96kg! I did have planned c-sections due to problems with my pelvis though. Good luck!

14

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 14 May 2013 - 22:43

Thanks heaps Betty Boo and kiwispiers. Kiwispiers, how many months/years between the two kids? Ive been very strict w my diet till now (36weeks), i have been having treats once a day :) put on 11kg's so far..

87

Posts

EW NEWBIE

Latest post on 14 May 2013 - 21:27

This predictions are not really accurate. My baby was predicted to be 4200g at term, and she was 3660g when she was born. Long girl, so wrong estimate.

kiwispiers15400

2782

Posts

EW EXPERT

Latest post on 14 May 2013 - 19:27

No idea about your particular doctors skill but regardless the margin of error in ultrasound estimates is around 500g either side. Lots if things can throw the estimate its based on head size, femur length and I think abdomen width? So if your baby has a small head they will be estimated as lower weight than they really are, if they have long legs they will be over estimated etc. If you don't want a VBAC just don't have one, I had a VBAC with my second ( who was 3.65 kg) and it was a very easy birth so I'm pleased I did, but there is no shame in choosing a repeat Caesarian if you'd feel more comfortable. To be honest position of the baby and freedom of movement during birth are probably far bigger factors in ease of delivery than size. 4 kg isn't actually that big, although they freak out about it over her, women frequently give birth to babies that size without issue. Not sure where you are in your pregnancy but high weight gain/ high blood sugar/ high carb diets seem to be linked with larger babies so you might want to be extra careful with your diet ( but still eat very healthy food and def don't try to lose weight)

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