Thanks AmyAus ;)
Yeah, it'll cross the coast as a Cat 4 or possibly 5 (?) then it should weaken to a Cat 1 as it moves west. But I did read somewhere tonight that they expect it won't weaken so quickly like other cyclones therefore leaving towns out west with a very high threat.
:(
If I am interpreting that correctly (?) and based on some of the articles I have read that the BOM Senior Forecasters have been quoted in, it is because when it is expected to hit @ 1am it will be a cat 4, and normally when they make land then loose intensity so by 1pm - 12 hours later - it will have dropped back to a cat 1. The problem is the intensity when it first hits land.
<em>edited by SJAussie on 01/02/2011</em>
Thanks SJAussie.
Many years ago we (in Cairns) had the exact scenario they are having now... huge cyclone heading straight for Cairns and it was a big one and was expected to basically flatten Cairns, that night we slept downstairs with our backpacks at the end of the mattress and fully clothed in case we had to evacuate the house. In the middle of the night the cyclone did a perfect 180deg turn and went back out to sea. Gone! It was truly a miracle! The same has to happen again... just has to.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/national/queensland-cyclone-yasi/story-e6frf7l6-1225998128938
Dont know if details have changed since this article was written but it says its 500km wide. Some good comparison figures to put it into perspective.
Maxindubai wrote
Apparently it's 2000km across, huge system! Fingers crossed it loses strength and crosses somewhere unpopulated.
but the ad wouldn't let me click on the quote bit.
I WAS going to post that surely the 2000km is a mistake maxindubai, as that would be almost as big as QLD, but then I looked at the image and had to go change my jocks.
Lots of prayers needed. Or crossed fingers, whichever you follow!
I won't get a wink of sleep tonight. I just cannot believe it... a miracle HAS to happen! I am so worried :(
Thoughts are with your family Shelly. Wish I could say something comforting as you wait... but not sure what I can say. Fingers crossed!
http://img684.imageshack.us/img684/4880/tcyasigoogleearth.jpg
All of my friends and family are in QLD, yay :(
That photo is amazing - and terrifying! :(
Oh dear, what awful news, hugs to everyone who has friends and family in that area. Thinking of you all. Hope it passes over quickly and with much less force than forecast. xx
Well, fingers crossed everyone has battened down the hatches as much as possible. Thoughts and prayers with your family and everyone on the coast up there in the next few days. x
No they haven't as their house is high enough above sea level for them not to be affected by the tidal surge thats expected. As far as leaving Cairns... the cyclone is so huge in size that wherever they go will be badly affected. They took all the hospital patients to Brisbane.
Mother Nature sure is being a complete B!tch!
http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=180042825366962&set=a.118438904860688.7913.100000837363269&ref=nf
At this stage meant to hit Cairns Wednesday night/Thursday 1am approx. All my family is in Cairns, so hoping for a miracle between now and tomorrow night!
Oh shellly. Have they evacuated?
Mother Nature sure is being a complete B!tch!
http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=180042825366962&set=a.118438904860688.7913.100000837363269&ref=nf
At this stage meant to hit Cairns Wednesday night/Thursday 1am approx. All my family is in Cairns, so hoping for a miracle between now and tomorrow night!